A global analysis of the impact of COVID-19 stay-at-home restrictions on crime.

Nivette, Amy E; Zahnow, Renee; Aguilar, Raul; Ahven, Andri; Amram, Shai; Ariel, Barak; Burbano, Maria Jose Arosemena; Astolfi, Roberta; Baier, Dirk; Bark, Hyung-Min; Beijers, Joris E H; Bergman, Marcelo; Breetzke, Gregory; Concha-Eastman, I Alberto; Curtis-Ham, Sophie; Davenport, Ryan; Diaz, Carlos; Fleitas, Diego; Gerell, Manne; Jang, Kwang-Ho; Kaariainen, Juha; Lappi-Seppala, Tapio; Lim, Woon-Sik; Revilla, Rosa Loureiro; Mazerolle, Lorraine; Me?ko, Gorazd; Pereda, Noemi; Peres, Maria F T; Poblete-Cazenave, Ruben; Rose, Simon; Svensson, Robert; Trajtenberg, Nico; van der Lippe, Tanja; Veldkamp, Joran; Perdomo, Carlos J Vilalta; Eisner, Manuel P
Nature human behaviour
2021Jun ; 8 ( 12 ) :.
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Nivette, Amy E -
Zahnow, Renee -
Aguilar, Raul -
Ahven, Andri -
Amram, Shai -
Ariel, Barak -
Burbano, Maria Jose Arosemena -
Astolfi, Roberta -
Baier, Dirk -
Bark, Hyung-Min -
Beijers, Joris E H -
Bergman, Marcelo -
Breetzke, Gregory -
Concha-Eastman, I Alberto -
Curtis-Ham, Sophie -
Davenport, Ryan -
Diaz, Carlos -
Fleitas, Diego -
Gerell, Manne -
Jang, Kwang-Ho -
Kaariainen, Juha -
Lappi-Seppala, Tapio -
Lim, Woon-Sik -
Revilla, Rosa Loureiro -
Mazerolle, Lorraine -
Me?ko, Gorazd -
Pereda, Noemi -
Peres, Maria F T -
Poblete-Cazenave, Ruben -
Rose, Simon -
Svensson, Robert -
Trajtenberg, Nico -
van der Lippe, Tanja -
Veldkamp, Joran -
Perdomo, Carlos J Vilalta -
Eisner, Manuel P -
ABSTRACT
The stay-at-home restrictions to control the spread of COVID-19 led to unparalleled sudden change in daily life, but it is unclear how they affected urban crime globally. We collected data on daily counts of crime in 27 cities across 23 countries in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Asia. We conducted interrupted time series analyses to assess the impact of stay-at-home restrictions on different types of crime in each city. Our findings show that the stay-at-home policies were associated with a considerable drop in urban crime, but with substantial variation across cities and types of crime. Meta-regression results showed that more stringent restrictions over movement in public space were predictive of larger declines in crime. CI - ??2021. The Author(s).
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The descriptive results suggest that stay-at-home restrictions are associated with declines in all types of crime, with the exception of homicide; On average, the overall reduction in crime levels across all included cities was −37%.
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DOI
10.1038/s41562-021-01139-z
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ICD 03
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