KCTBASE

Effectiveness of Testing and Contact-Tracing to Counter COVID-19 Pandemic: Designed Experiments of Agent-Based Simulation.

Kim, Young Jin; Koo, Pyung-Hoi

Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland)
2021May ; 9 ( 6 ) :.

PMID : 34073946

저자 상세정보

Kim, Young Jin - Department of Systems Management and Engineering, Pukyong National University, Busan 48513, Korea.
Koo, Pyung-Hoi - Department of Systems Management and Engineering, Pukyong National University, Busan 48513, Korea.

ABSTRACT

The widespread outbreak of the novel coronavirus disease COVID-19 has posed an enormous threat to global public health. A different set of policy interventions has been implemented to mitigate the spread in most countries. While the use of personal protective equipment and social distancing has been specifically emphasized, South Korea has deployed massive testing and contact-tracing program from the early stage of the outbreak. This study aims at investigating the effectiveness of testing and contact-tracing to counter the spread of infectious diseases. Based on the SEICR (susceptible-exposed-infectious-confirmed-recovered) model, an agent-based simulation model is developed to represent the behavior of disease spreading with the consideration of testing and contact-tracing in place. Designed experiments are conducted to verify the effects of testing and contact tracing on the peak number of infections. It has been observed that testing combined with contact tracing may lower the peak infections to a great extent, and it can thus be avoided for the hospital bed capacity to be overwhelmed by infected patients. It is implied that an adequate capability of testing and contact-tracing may enable us to become better prepared for an impending risk of infectious diseases.

keyword

COVID-19; agent-based model; designed experiments; infectious disease outbreak; testing and contact tracing

MESH

링크

PubMed

주제코드

주제명(Target field)

연구대상(Population)

연구참여(Sample size)

대상성별(Gender)

질병특성(Condition Category)

연구환경(Setting)

연구설계(Study Design)

연구기간(Period)

중재방법(Intervention Type)

중재명칭(Intervention Name)

키워드(Keyword)

유효성결과(Recomendation)

This article reported that testing combined with contact tracing may lower the peak infections to a great extent, and it can thus be avoided for the hospital bed capacity to be overwhelmed by infected patients.

연구비지원(Fund Source)

근거수준평가(Evidence Hierarchy)

출판년도(Year)

참여저자수(Authors)

대표저자

DOI

10.3390/healthcare9060625

KCD코드

ICD 03

건강보험코드