KCDC Risk Assessments on the Initial Phase of the COVID-19 Outbreak in Korea

Osong Public Health and Research Perspectives 2020³â 11±Ç 2È£ p.67 ~ p.73

±èÀÎÈ£(Kim In-Ho) - Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Division of Risk Assessment and International Cooperation
ÀÌÁö¾Æ(Lee Ji-A) - Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Division of Risk Assessment and International Cooperation
ÀÌÁöÈñ(Lee Ji-Hee) - Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Division of Risk Assessment and International Cooperation
½ÅÀμ÷(Shin Een-Suk) - Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Division of Risk Assessment and International Cooperation
ÁÖÀç½Å(Chu Chae-Shin) - Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Division of Risk Assessment and International Cooperation
À̼±±Ô(Lee Seon-Kui) - Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Division of Risk Assessment and International Cooperation

Abstract

Objectives: This study aims to evaluate the risk assessments of coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) in the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (KCDC), from the point of detection to the provision of basic information to the relevant public health authorities.

Methods: To estimate the overall risk of specific public health events, probability, and impact at the country-level were evaluated using available information. To determine the probability of particular public health events, the risk of importation and risk of transmission were taken into consideration. KCDC used 5 levels (¡°very low,¡± ¡°low,¡± ¡°moderate,¡± ¡°high,¡± and ¡°very high¡±) for each category and overall risk was eventually decided.

Results: A total of 8 risk assessments were performed on 8 separate occasions between January 8th to February 28th, 2020, depending on the detection and report of COVID-19 cases in other countries. The overall risk of the situation in each assessment increased in severity over this period: ¡°low¡± (first), ¡°moderate¡± (second), ¡°high¡± (third), ¡°high¡± (fourth), ¡°high¡± (fifth), ¡°high¡± (sixth), ¡°high¡± (seventh), and ¡°very high¡± (eighth).

Conclusion: The KCDC¡¯s 8 risk assessments were utilized to activate national emergency response mechanisms and eventually prepare for the pandemic to ensure the containment and mitigation of COVID-19 with non-pharmaceutical public health measures.

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COVID-19, public health, risk assessment
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A total of 8 risk assessments were performed on 8 separate occasions between January 8th to February 28th, 2020; The overall risk of the situation in each assessment increased in severity over this period: ¡°low¡± (first), ¡°moderate¡± (second), ¡°high¡± (third), ¡°high¡± (fourth), ¡°high¡± (fifth), ¡°high¡± (sixth), ¡°high¡± (seventh), and ¡°very high¡± (eighth).
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